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{"id":4220,"date":"2016-09-20T14:41:34","date_gmt":"2016-09-20T14:41:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/?p=4220"},"modified":"2016-09-20T14:41:34","modified_gmt":"2016-09-20T14:41:34","slug":"driverless-car-ethics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/driverless-car-ethics\/","title":{"rendered":"Driverless Car Ethics: When &#8220;Gut Decisions&#8221; Are Made By Machines"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>With so many vehicles coming out with at least partially-automated features, many drivers are growing more comfortable with the idea of technology-assisted driving.<\/p><p>After all, it\u2019s easy to see the benefits of technology you make use of everyday.<\/p><p>Cruise control keeps us from speeding; smart sensors and camera parking-assist systems take the fear out of parallel parking, and nearly everyone you know uses some form of technology-assisted navigation when driving somewhere unfamiliar, even if it\u2019s just through an app on their phone.<\/p><h2>Safety in (Automated) Numbers<\/h2><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a public, we\u2019re not yet as trusting of semi-autonomous or fully-autonomous vehicles, but history suggests this may shift as more drivers and commuters become able to familiarize themselves with the new technology and personally interact with it. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">After all, society has adapted to elevators, trains, and planes&#8211;all inventions that can cause fatalities in very rare, worst-case scenarios. Only daily experience and social norms allow us to accept that these worst-case scenarios are so low-probability that we can trust we\u2019re safe when we use them every day.<\/span><\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4227 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-1-2.jpg\" alt=\"driverless car 1\" width=\"1215\" height=\"460\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-1-2.jpg 1215w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-1-2-300x114.jpg 300w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-1-2-1024x388.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-1-2-768x291.jpg 768w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-1-2-1200x454.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 709px) 85vw, (max-width: 909px) 67vw, (max-width: 1362px) 62vw, 840px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1215px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1215\/460;\" \/><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Though we\u2019re <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/autonomous-car-technology\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">at least 5 years away<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> from having fully-autonomous vehicles available for the consumer market, safety experts project that if the commuting public is able to accept their widespread use, the boon to public safety could be unprecedented. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">We lose about 1.25 million people to road traffic crashes every year, according to the <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.who.int\/mediacentre\/factsheets\/fs358\/en\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">World Health Organization<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">, and human error has been estimated to account for <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/www.transportation.gov\/briefing-room\/secretary-foxx-unveils-president-obama%E2%80%99s-fy17-budget-proposal-nearly-4-billion\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">94%<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> of all motor vehicle crashes. Worldwide, driving is the primary cause of death for people aged 15-29. Were we not so accustomed to driving culture and vehicular accidents, this would surely constitute a public health crisis. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">These numbers are cited by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) to explain their commitment to working with the automotive industry and regulators to coordinate for safe deployment of autonomous vehicles for the public good. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Given everything we know at this stage of development, the evidence appears to overwhelmingly favor autonomous vehicles, even if we account for hard-to-predict worst-case scenarios. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">But with new technology, it\u2019s the worst-case scenarios that stick in people\u2019s brains. Whatever problems come to light with the first Level 5 models of autonomous vehicles on the market, they will have an outsized effect on public trust and rates of adoption.<\/span><\/p><h2>Worst-Case Scenarios: How Researchers Plan<\/h2><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Researchers and manufacturers developing driverless vehicles know how important proof of safety will be for public adoption of the nascent technology. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As a result, many teams of experts are devoted to both predicting the rare situations that may cause challenges, and to tweaking the algorithms and machine learning components that will be relied on when human drivers relinquish control of decision-making. <\/span><\/p><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/automotive-autonomy\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Level 5 Autonomy<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> means manufacturers and programmers will have to program vehicles to make split-second decisions in even the most unusual of scenarios&#8211;the kind you statistically may never encounter as a driver, or only very rarely. <\/span><\/p><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4230 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-2.jpg\" alt=\"driverless car 2\" width=\"1215\" height=\"460\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-2.jpg 1215w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-2-300x114.jpg 300w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-2-1024x388.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-2-768x291.jpg 768w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-2-1200x454.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 709px) 85vw, (max-width: 909px) 67vw, (max-width: 1362px) 62vw, 840px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1215px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1215\/460;\" \/><\/p><h2>Your Car&#8217;s Ethics: Do You Want a Model Citizen, or a Protector?<\/h2><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The A.I. decision-making components involved in creating truly driverless vehicles opens up debates more familiar to ethics professors than mechanics or tech savants. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">A driverless car may sometimes end up in a situation of choosing between the lesser of two evils. Imagine a scenario in which a vehicle\u2019s only options are head-on collision with a group of people blocking a road ahead, or swerving into a side barrier to avoid killing pedestrians. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the car\u2019s program chooses the barrier collision, it risks injury and fatality for its passengers. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If it chooses to drive straight into the group of pedestrians blocking the road, casualties are certain, but there\u2019s a high probability that the car\u2019s own passengers would survive. Should your car choose the option that has some probability of saving your life, no matter how high the cost to others, or should it always choose to minimize total fatalities, even when that may result in passenger death? <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Economic and ethics theorists refer to dilemmas like this as the <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Tragedy_of_the_commons\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Tragedy of the Commons<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: a situational phenomenon in which individuals acting in their own self-interest sometimes behave in ways that are counter to the greater common good. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Safety experts who seek to reduce the number of casualties overall strongly recommend the \u201cUtilitarian\u201d approach, which prioritizes decision-making that results in the fewest casualties over the safety of one vehicle\u2019s passengers. But in practice, humans tend to act out of self-interest, even if they support acting on behalf of the common good in theory. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Recent surveys seem to bear this out when it comes to our preference for driverless cars. A <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/science.sciencemag.org\/content\/352\/6293\/1573\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">survey of 2,000 U.S. residents<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> found that though a majority strongly agrees that autonomous vehicles should be programmed to save as many lives as possible &#8211; the \u201cUtilitarian\u201d model &#8211; the same majority of responders said they would be hesitant to buy such a car. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Instead, 59% indicated they would prefer a vehicle programmed to save its passengers at all costs when buying for themselves. What\u2019s more: participants expressed a strong preference <\/span><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">against <\/span><\/i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">the government passing regulations requiring autonomous vehicles to adopt a Utilitarian algorithm<\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If the goal is to reduce overall casualties for the greater good, presenting the public with an ethical model that makes them uncomfortable could kill the concept in the water by slowing or even halting public adoption. <\/span><\/p><h2>A Reality-Based Model: Keeping Risks In Perspective<\/h2><p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-4231 lazyload\" data-src=\"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-3.jpg\" alt=\"driverless car 3\" width=\"1215\" height=\"460\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-3.jpg 1215w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-3-300x114.jpg 300w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-3-1024x388.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-3-768x291.jpg 768w, https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/driverless-car-3-1200x454.jpg 1200w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 709px) 85vw, (max-width: 909px) 67vw, (max-width: 1362px) 62vw, 840px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 1215px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 1215\/460;\" \/><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">There are two things we should all keep in mind when reading about how manufacturers attempt to plan for these highly-theoretical worst-case scenarios: <\/span><\/p><ol><li><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">They\u2019re extremely unusual, and these scenarios are equally divisive as ethical dilemmas even when human drivers are calling the shots.<\/span><\/li><li style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">They are not \u201cnew\u201d problems &#8211; when discussing these scenarios in relation to driverless cars, it\u2019s easy to get the general impression that they\u2019re more dangerous than vehicles already on the road. The truth is, we already accept that other human drivers may make these impossible decisions &#8211; in ways we agree or disagree with &#8211; at any time.<\/span><\/li><\/ol><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">As much as possible, manufacturers and regulators should seek to make autonomous vehicles the safest ones on the road. At the same time, the vehicles\u2019 decision-making processes should not stray too far outside what the consumer and commuting public are comfortable with, or little progress will be made on overall road safety. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Better to design cars that mimic humans\u2019 self-preservation instinct in these very rare scenarios than to shoot for the ideal of a Utilitarian approach and risk scaring the consumer market away from adoption. Instead, it may be more helpful to focus on all the ways that properly-tested autonomous vehicles can help eliminate and prevent the types of human driving errors that currently cause so many fatalities every year. <\/span><\/p><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">If you\u2019d like to learn more about the kinds of ethical situations researchers are considering for development of driverless technology, check out M.I.T.\u2019s interactive \u201c<\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/moralmachine.mit.edu\/\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Moral Machine<\/span><\/a><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">,\u201d and see where your own preferences lie.<\/span><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>With so many vehicles coming out with at least partially-automated features, many drivers are growing more comfortable with the idea of technology-assisted driving.After all, it\u2019s easy to see the benefits of technology you make use of everyday.Cruise control keeps us from speeding; smart sensors and camera parking-assist systems take the fear out of parallel parking, and nearly everyone you know &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/driverless-car-ethics\/\" class=\"more-link\">Continue reading<span class=\"screen-reader-text\"> &#8220;Driverless Car Ethics: When &#8220;Gut Decisions&#8221; Are Made By Machines&#8221;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":4223,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[141],"tags":[16,25,220],"class_list":["post-4220","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-self-driving-cars","tag-accident-reduction","tag-accident-risks","tag-driverless-car-ethics"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4220"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4220\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4220"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4220"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/staging.trafficsafetystore.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4220"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}